AU · rank #4 · 2026-06-03
SMTC
NASDAQ · $15.52B
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.509 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.97 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 12 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.099 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $204.83 | +22.9% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +7.04% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.79 |
| Gross margin TTM | +52.4% |
| 52w high | $172.36 |
| Market cap | $15.52B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed.
Summary
Semtech is a mixed-signal semiconductor and IoT connectivity company whose portfolio spans legacy analog/ASIC products and acquired Sierra Wireless cellular/IoT modules, targeting industrial, smart metering, and LoRa-based long-range low-power applications.
Rationale
12 net analyst revisions in 30 days combined with 22.9% upside and 4.79/5 rating suggest consensus is repricing a recovery narrative (Q4 beat, improving IoT/industrial demand, margin expansion from cost synergies) that quant models are capturing ahead of broader recognition.
Material risks
- 1Geopolitical exposure to U.S.–China export controls and communications/IoT supply-chain scrutiny could trigger sudden licensing constraints or market access loss in key regions, particularly for LoRa and cellular modules sold into Asia-Pacific.
- 2Competitive displacement risk from larger diversified semiconductor and connectivity vendors in LPWA and cellular IoT modules, combined with persistent weakness in communications and datacenter end-markets, could pressure pricing and slow LoRa ecosystem adoption despite near-term demand recovery.
Verdict reasoning
two_stage score=+2/3 verdicts={'gemini': 'CAUTION', 'claude': 'PROCEED', 'openai': 'PROCEED'} brief=caller-supplied