← Analyst Upside
AU · rank #4 · 2026-06-04
MTSI
NASDAQ · $29.78B
verdict · PROCEED
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.959 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$1.23 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 13 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.177 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $398.36 | +2.1% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +36.52% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.25 |
| Gross margin TTM | +55.7% |
| 52w high | $418.90 |
| Market cap | $29.78B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed.
Summary
MACOM is a niche analog/RF/optical semiconductor supplier serving data-center, telecom, industrial, and defense end-markets through specialized compound-semiconductor and photonics design wins.
Rationale
100% analyst revision agreement with 13 net upward revisions over 30d and 36.5% momentum acceleration suggest consensus confidence in near-term demand inflection, likely tied to AI/data-center interconnect or telecom refresh cycles.
Material risks
- 1Export controls or geopolitical restrictions on defense/telecom shipments could abruptly curtail orders and invalidate the upside revision thesis.
- 2Dependence on limited foundry and substrate suppliers creates supply-chain vulnerability that could constrain production ramps and offset design-win momentum.
Verdict reasoning
two_stage score=+2/3 verdicts={'openai': 'PROCEED', 'claude': 'PROCEED', 'gemini': 'CAUTION'} brief=caller-supplied