← Analyst Upside
AU · rank #3 · 2026-06-04
SMTC
NASDAQ · $15.52B
verdict · PROCEED
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 2.572 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.97 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 12 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.177 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $204.83 | +25.3% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +17.76% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.79 |
| Gross margin TTM | +52.4% |
| 52w high | $172.36 |
| Market cap | $15.52B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed.
Summary
Semtech is a mixed-signal semiconductor and IoT connectivity specialist with differentiated LoRa LPWAN technology serving data center, industrial, and IoT infrastructure markets.
Rationale
Unanimous analyst agreement (100% revision consensus) combined with 25.3% upside and 4.8/5 rating suggests broad conviction on earnings recovery, supported by 17.8% momentum acceleration and 12 net positive revisions in 30 days.
Material risks
- 1Cyclical exposure to data center and industrial capex pullback could rapidly compress orders and utilization, particularly if cloud infrastructure spending decelerates.
- 2LoRa market share erosion from competing LPWAN standards and integrated IoT solutions from larger analog vendors (TI, ADI) could undermine Semtech's differentiation moat.
Verdict reasoning
two_stage score=+3/3 verdicts={'openai': 'PROCEED', 'claude': 'PROCEED', 'gemini': 'PROCEED'} brief=caller-supplied