← Analyst Upside
AU · rank #3 · 2026-06-05
SMTC
NASDAQ · $15.52B
verdict · PROCEED
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 2.231 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.97 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 12 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.186 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $204.83 | +21.0% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +18.81% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.79 |
| Gross margin TTM | +52.4% |
| 52w high | $172.36 |
| Market cap | $15.52B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed.
Summary
Semtech supplies analog/mixed-signal semiconductors and LoRa IoT connectivity to industrial, communications, and data center OEMs.
Rationale
12 net upward EPS revisions in 30d with 100% analyst agreement, 4.8/5 rating, and 21% upside target imply consensus confidence in near-term earnings acceleration driven by LoRa adoption or signal-integrity demand recovery.
Material risks
- 1Cyclical industrial and communications end-market demand can reverse sharply, triggering inventory corrections and order cancellations that invalidate current analyst revisions.
- 2LoRa ecosystem adoption faces competitive pressure from larger analog vendors (TI, ADI) integrating LPWAN alternatives and from China export-control headwinds affecting a material portion of industrial revenue.
Verdict reasoning
two_stage score=+2/3 verdicts={'openai': 'PROCEED', 'claude': 'PROCEED', 'gemini': 'ERROR'} brief=caller-supplied dissent=gemini