Analyst Upside

AU · rank #19 · 2026-07-20

AMAT

NASDAQ · $478.36B (USD)

SignalSell
verdict · CAUTION

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.251
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.49
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
6
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.194
Analyst upside
Consensus target $612.20
+15.6%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
-10.56%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.49
Gross margin TTM+49.0%
52w high$739.67
Market cap (USD)$478.36B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Applied Materials is the world's largest wafer fab equipment supplier, delivering record revenue across deposition, etch, and process-control tools critical to advanced-node and 3D semiconductor manufacturing.

Rationale

The analyst_upside signal is strongly reinforced by 15 target raises in 30 days, 100% EPS revision agreement across 34 analysts, and a Q3 guide implying ~23% revenue and ~36% EPS growth that gives the upside thesis concrete near-term catalysts rather than pure sentiment.

Material risks

  • 1U.S. export controls on advanced chip equipment to China represent a quantified, already-disclosed ~$600–710M 2026 revenue headwind that could widen if rules tighten further, directly compressing the earnings trajectory underpinning analyst target raises.
  • 2Momentum acceleration is deeply negative (-10.6%), and with no insider buying over 90 days and one net analyst downgrade over 90 days, price may continue to lag the fundamental revision story, delaying the convergence to analyst targets that the strategy depends on.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Caution
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Error