AU · rank #18 · 2026-07-20
ARCB
NASDAQ · $3.28B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.278 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.74 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 8 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.194 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $164.08 | +2.7% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +8.79% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.69 |
| Gross margin TTM | +7.7% |
| 52w high | $176.69 |
| Market cap (USD) | $3.28B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
ArcBest is a mid-cap LTL and logistics carrier operating through its ABF Freight subsidiary alongside asset-light managed transportation services.
Rationale
All 8 net revisions in the past 30 days are upward (100% revision agreement), EPS estimates have been revised up $1.60 over 90 days, and a fresh 11.2% earnings beat confirms analysts are systematically underestimating ArcBest's earnings power as freight volumes recover.
Material risks
- 1Analyst target dispersion of 43% is unusually wide for a $3.3B trucking name, signaling deep disagreement on the cycle's trajectory — the upside case may already be priced into the 4 target raises while the bear case reflects genuine freight recession risk.
- 2Zero insider buying over 90 days despite a beaten-down valuation and rising estimates is a notable absence of conviction from management, weakening the signal that insiders see durable upside.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.