AU · rank #3 · 2026-07-20
ASM
AMSTERDAM · EUR · $48.61B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 2.499 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.43 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 4 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $1,050.11 | +20.8% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | -5.35% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.26 |
| Gross margin TTM | +51.8% |
| 52w high | $1,092.50 |
| Market cap (USD) | $48.61B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
ASM International is a Netherlands-based semiconductor equipment maker specializing in atomic layer deposition and epitaxy tools sold to leading logic and foundry customers riding AI-driven advanced-node investment.
Rationale
A 20.8% analyst upside gap, 75% revision agreement, strong 90-day EPS revision of $3.73, and an 18% Q1 earnings beat collectively confirm that consensus is still catching up to ASM's accelerating AI/logic demand — exactly the setup the analyst_upside strategy targets.
Material risks
- 1China export control tightening on advanced deposition equipment could abruptly remove a key demand driver that management explicitly cited as fueling the Q1 beat and Q2 raised guidance, directly invalidating the near-term earnings revision trajectory.
- 2Momentum acceleration is negative at -5.35%, and with analyst_target_dispersion at a wide 61.9%, the 20.8% upside consensus figure masks significant disagreement on fair value, raising the risk of a sharp de-rating if foundry capex softens before estimates fully reset.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.