Analyst Upside

AU · rank #1 · 2026-07-20

DOM

GPW · PLN · $1.74B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy10.0strength 10.0 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.667
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.96
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
1
Insider signal (90d)
Analyst upside
Consensus target $290.91
+14.1%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+0.59%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.43
Gross margin TTM+33.7%
52w high$276.63
Market cap (USD)$1.74B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Dom Development (DOM@GPW) is Poland's largest residential developer, selling and delivering multi-family apartments across Warsaw, Wrocław, Kraków, and the Tri-City area with record H1 2026 volumes.

Rationale

100% analyst revision agreement, a 14% consensus upside, and accelerating EPS upgrades over 30–90 days are directly reinforced by record Q1 2026 revenue (+30% y/y) and net profit (+21% y/y), validating the analyst_upside signal on fundamental momentum rather than mere sentiment rotation.

Material risks

  • 1Gross margin has compressed year-on-year (from ~34% to ~31% in Q1 2026), and if construction cost inflation or competitive pricing pressure continues, further margin erosion could trigger analyst target cuts that reverse the current unanimous upgrade cycle.
  • 2The analyst coverage base is thin (only 4 analysts), meaning a single downgrade or target reduction could disproportionately shift the consensus metrics that drive this screen, and high target dispersion (18.9%) signals meaningful disagreement on fair value despite unanimous revision direction.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Error