AU · rank #6 · 2026-07-20
F3C
XETRA · EUR · $379M (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.779 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.08 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 2 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $26.60 | +39.7% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +19.14% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.80 |
| Gross margin TTM | +40.2% |
| 52w high | $24.75 |
| Market cap (USD) | $379M |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
SFC Energy is a German fuel cell and hybrid energy systems manufacturer serving defense, public security, and industrial off-grid power markets, with a record €42.7m Ukrainian military contract secured in May 2026 driving a guidance upgrade.
Rationale
The 39.7% analyst upside, near-unanimous buy rating (1.8/5), and 60-90 day EPS revision trend all reflect a genuine, contract-backed earnings inflection — the Ukrainian order and guidance raise give analysts concrete numbers to revise toward, not just sentiment.
Material risks
- 1The Ukrainian contract is funded by a single German government program; any shift in Berlin's Enablement Initiative budget, export-control ruling, or ceasefire dynamic could cancel or defer the largest order in company history and collapse the revised guidance.
- 2High analyst target dispersion (30.1%) across only five analysts signals wide uncertainty on execution — Cluj ramp-up delays or supply-chain friction on a record backlog could cause the next earnings print to miss the newly raised bar and trigger sharp estimate cuts.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.