AU · rank #10 · 2026-07-20
RBRK
NYSE · $16.25B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.223 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.00 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 12 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.194 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $95.23 | +20.6% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +48.78% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.90 |
| Gross margin TTM | +80.6% |
| 52w high | $99.75 |
| Market cap (USD) | $16.25B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Rubrik is a cloud-native data security and ransomware recovery platform generating ~$1.46B in subscription ARR with 80%+ gross margins and >120% net revenue retention across hybrid and multi-cloud enterprise deployments.
Rationale
The analyst_upside_pct of ~21% is credible given 25 covering analysts, a 667% Q1 earnings surprise that flipped consensus from loss to profit, raised guidance, and accelerating 39% revenue growth that collectively justify upward target revisions.
Material risks
- 1Hyperscale cloud providers (AWS, Azure, GCP) bundling native backup and data security into their platforms could commoditize Rubrik's core recovery workloads and compress subscription ARR growth within their respective clouds.
- 2Zero insider buying over 90 days and high analyst target dispersion of ~31.5% suggest meaningful uncertainty around the pace of profitability improvement, leaving the stock vulnerable to any guidance miss given elevated post-surprise expectations.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.