AU · rank #13 · 2026-07-21
AAL
NASDAQ · $10.01B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.083 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.30 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 6 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.163 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $19.60 | +29.5% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +25.93% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.81 |
| Gross margin TTM | +22.9% |
| 52w high | $18.79 |
| Market cap (USD) | $10.01B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
American Airlines (AAL) is a major U.S. network carrier with broad domestic and Latin America exposure, hub expansion at DFW, and a premium/corporate push through lounges, SAF, and upcoming Starlink Wi‑Fi.
Rationale
The signal fits an analyst-upside setup because consensus has turned more constructive on earnings and price targets, with 29% modeled upside, 14 target raises in 30 days, 80% revision agreement, and positive EPS revision momentum after a strong last earnings surprise.
Material risks
- 1The thesis is most vulnerable to a jet-fuel spike or fuel recapture miss, since American’s thin margins and aggressive capacity plan make it more exposed than peers to another cost shock.
- 2Analyst sentiment is still noisy and the stock’s target dispersion is very wide, with negative net upgrades and a weaker rating trend signaling that upside is not broadly conviction-backed.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.