AU · rank #10 · 2026-07-21
AMAT
NASDAQ · $478.36B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.239 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.45 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 6 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.163 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $612.20 | +16.5% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | -13.28% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.49 |
| Gross margin TTM | +49.0% |
| 52w high | $739.67 |
| Market cap (USD) | $478.36B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Applied Materials is a leading wafer fab equipment supplier with dominant positions in deposition, etch, and process control tools critical to advanced semiconductor manufacturing.
Rationale
The analyst_upside signal is strongly reinforced by 15 target raises in 30 days, 100% EPS revision agreement across 34 analysts, and a record Q2 beat with Q3 guidance implying ~23% revenue growth, giving the consensus upgrade cycle real fundamental backing rather than mere sentiment drift.
Material risks
- 1U.S. export controls on advanced chip equipment to China represent a concrete, already-quantified $600–710M 2026 revenue headwind that could deepen if rules tighten further, directly compressing the earnings trajectory underpinning analyst target raises.
- 2Demand concentration in AI/leading-edge foundry and memory capex means a spending pause or capex cut by a handful of large customers (TSMC, Samsung, SK Hynix) could rapidly reverse the current revision cycle and invalidate the upside thesis.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.