Analyst Upside

AU · rank #15 · 2026-07-21

AMD

NASDAQ · $821.12B (USD)

SignalBuy2.5strength 2.5 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.927
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.36
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
8
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.163
Analyst upside
Consensus target $541.66
+7.6%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+10.76%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.16
Gross margin TTM+53.1%
52w high$584.73
Market cap (USD)$821.12B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

AMD designs high-performance CPUs, GPUs, and AI accelerators competing directly with Intel and NVIDIA across data center, PC, and embedded markets.

Rationale

All 9 analyst target raises in 30 days align with 100% revision agreement and a $0.08 non-GAAP EPS beat plus 46% YoY Q2 guidance, confirming the analyst_upside signal is grounded in accelerating fundamental momentum rather than stale sentiment.

Material risks

  • 1Hyperscaler customers (Microsoft, Meta, Google) are aggressively developing custom AI silicon (Maia, MTIA, TPUs) that could displace MI-series GPU demand at AMD's largest and fastest-growing accounts — a partial in-house build risk that is already materializing.
  • 2Analyst target dispersion of 75.4% is exceptionally wide, signaling deep disagreement on MI300X/MI350 ramp trajectory and export-control exposure to China, which could compress the 7.6% consensus upside rapidly on any demand signal miss.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Error