Analyst Upside

AU · rank #5 · 2026-07-21

ARCB

NASDAQ · $3.28B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy6.2strength 6.2 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
2.139
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.74
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
8
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.163
Analyst upside
Consensus target $164.08
+3.7%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+7.95%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
3.69
Gross margin TTM+7.7%
52w high$176.69
Market cap (USD)$3.28B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

ArcBest is a $3.3B trucking and logistics company operating primarily through its ABF Freight LTL network alongside asset-light managed transportation services.

Rationale

All 8 net EPS revisions in the past 30 days moved higher (100% revision agreement), target raises from 4 analysts, and an 11.2% earnings beat collectively validate the analyst_upside signal as grounded in improving fundamental momentum rather than pure sentiment drift.

Material risks

  • 1Analyst target dispersion of 43% is unusually wide for a mid-cap trucker, signaling deep disagreement on cycle timing and suggesting the 3.7% consensus upside figure masks a skewed distribution where bear cases are materially lower.
  • 2Zero insider buying over 90 days despite a beaten quarter and rising targets implies insiders see limited near-term upside, a notable divergence from the bullish analyst revision trend.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

Claude
Proceed
OpenAI
Proceed
Gemini
Error