Analyst Upside

AU · rank #18 · 2026-07-21

IDL

PARIS · EUR · $2.65B (USD)

SignalSell
verdict · CAUTION

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.141
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.00
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
1
Insider signal (90d)
Analyst upside
Consensus target $484.67
+36.7%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+10.55%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
Gross margin TTM+16.1%
52w high$465.00
Market cap (USD)$2.65B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

ID Logistics is a European-led international contract logistics specialist operating ~450 sites across 19 countries, providing highly customized warehouse, transport, and e-commerce fulfillment solutions under multi-year contracts to major manufacturers and retailers.

Rationale

The 36.7% analyst upside, 100% revision agreement across all three covering analysts, and accelerating EPS upgrades over 7/30/60/90-day windows align with a Q1 2026 beat and management's explicit "solid embedded growth" guidance, giving the analyst_upside signal a fundamental anchor rather than pure sentiment drift.

Material risks

  • 1With only 3 analysts covering IDL, the 100% revision agreement and tight consensus are structurally fragile — a single estimate cut or contract loss (e.g., the Brazilian e-commerce ramp or US Southeast sites underperforming) could rapidly collapse the revision momentum that drives this signal.
  • 2FX headwinds already created a 300bp gap between reported (+14.2%) and like-for-like (+17.2%) Q1 2026 growth, and further USD/BRL weakness against the euro could compress reported EPS and trigger the very downward revisions this thesis depends on avoiding.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
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