Analyst Upside

AU · rank #17 · 2026-07-21

PRGS

NASDAQ · $1.65B (USD)

SignalSell
verdict · CAUTION

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.830
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.18
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
5
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.163
Analyst upside
Consensus target $50.67
+28.3%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+34.40%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.29
Gross margin TTM+85.6%
52w high$51.28
Market cap (USD)$1.65B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

PRGS is a mid-sized NASDAQ-listed infrastructure and digital experience software vendor with recurring ARR-driven revenue, high gross margins, and strong free cash flow.

Rationale

The signal stack fits an analyst-upside trade because earnings estimates have risen in unison, the stock shows accelerating momentum, analyst upside is still ~28%, and Q2 2026 results beat expectations with solid ARR and margins.

Material risks

  • 1Larger enterprise software vendors and cloud-native alternatives could pressure Progress’s recurring base if customers shift away from its platform.
  • 2Because the business relies on installed-base subscriptions rather than a unique bottleneck, customers could build more integration and digital experience capability in-house over time, limiting upside.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Error