Analyst Upside

AU · rank #6 · 2026-07-21

PZU

GPW · PLN · $15.88B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy1.0strength 1.0 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
-0.591
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.03
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
0
Insider signal (90d)
Analyst upside
Consensus target $74.09
+6.1%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
-0.62%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.25
Gross margin TTM+58.9%
52w high$72.72
Market cap (USD)$15.88B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA (PZU@GPW) is the dominant multi-line insurer in Poland, providing non-life, life, and health coverage supported by a large, recurring policyholder base.

Rationale

Positive short- and medium-term EPS revisions are fundamentally validated by PZU@GPW's Q1 2026 net profit beating consensus estimates by 8%, driving momentum alongside a 6.14% analyst upside and a secure 7.6% dividend yield.

Material risks

  • 1A rise in the frequency and severity of weather-related or catastrophe claims could compress underwriting margins and deteriorate its 86.8% non-life combined ratio.
  • 2Significant concentration of its investment portfolio in Polish government debt (73%) leaves earnings vulnerable to interest-rate, credit-spread, and regional geopolitical volatility.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed