AU · rank #12 · 2026-07-21
RBRK
NYSE · $16.25B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.167 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.00 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 12 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.163 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $95.23 | +21.8% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +43.94% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.90 |
| Gross margin TTM | +80.6% |
| 52w high | $99.75 |
| Market cap (USD) | $16.25B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Rubrik is a cloud-native data security and ransomware recovery platform generating ~$1.46B in subscription ARR with 80%+ gross margins and net revenue retention above 120%.
Rationale
The analyst_upside_pct of 21.8% is credible given 25 covering analysts, a 667% Q1 earnings surprise, raised guidance, and accelerating 39% revenue growth that has forced upward EPS revisions over 30/60/90-day windows.
Material risks
- 1Hyperscale cloud providers (AWS, Azure, GCP) bundling native backup and data security capabilities could commoditize Rubrik's core recovery workloads and compress subscription ARR growth within their own ecosystems.
- 2Target price dispersion of 31.5% signals meaningful analyst disagreement on terminal value, and with zero insider buying in 90 days, insiders are not corroborating the bullish analyst consensus at current levels.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.