Analyst Upside

AU · rank #10 · 2026-07-22

AG1

XETRA · EUR · $6.18B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy4.3strength 4.3 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.205
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.03
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
3
Insider signal (90d)
Analyst upside
Consensus target $31.00
+28.0%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+29.64%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.07
Gross margin TTM+12.0%
52w high$31.50
Market cap (USD)$6.18B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

AUTO1 Group (AG1) operates Europe's largest digital used-car platform, connecting dealers and consumers across two segments—Merchant wholesale and Autohero direct-to-consumer retail—having sold nearly 249,000 vehicles in Q1 2026.

Rationale

The 28% analyst upside, 80% revision agreement, and consistent EPS upgrades across 7/30/60/90-day windows reflect genuine earnings momentum from Autohero's 47.8% retail unit growth, giving the analyst_upside signal a fundamental anchor rather than pure sentiment drift.

Material risks

  • 1At ~2.5% adjusted EBITDA margin with no contracted backlog, any deceleration in European used-car demand or deterioration in residual values could rapidly erase profitability, directly disconfirming the earnings revision trend that drives this signal.
  • 2High analyst target dispersion of 56.6% signals deep disagreement on terminal margin potential, meaning consensus upgrades could reverse sharply if Autohero's unit economics fail to scale beyond the current €1,166 gross profit per unit.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed