Analyst Upside

AU · rank #15 · 2026-07-22

RBRK

NYSE · $16.25B (USD)

SignalBuy2.9strength 2.9 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.075
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.00
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
12
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.197
Analyst upside
Consensus target $95.23
+25.6%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+50.92%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.90
Gross margin TTM+80.6%
52w high$99.75
Market cap (USD)$16.25B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Rubrik is a cloud-native data security and ransomware recovery platform generating ~$1.46B in subscription ARR with 80%+ gross margins and net revenue retention above 120%.

Rationale

A 667% earnings surprise, 39% revenue growth, raised guidance, and 25.6% analyst upside with 25 covering analysts and 75% revision agreement collectively validate the analyst_upside signal as grounded in fundamental re-rating rather than sentiment drift.

Material risks

  • 1Hyperscale cloud providers (AWS, Azure, GCP) bundling native backup and data security into their platforms could commoditize Rubrik's core recovery offering and pressure ARR growth as customers consolidate vendor spend.
  • 2High analyst target dispersion of 31.5% signals meaningful disagreement on terminal value, and zero insider buying over 90 days despite a strong print suggests insiders see the current ~$16B market cap as fair-to-full.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Error