AU · rank #8 · 2026-07-23
F3C
XETRA · EUR · $389M (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.426 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.08 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 2 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $26.60 | +36.0% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +20.12% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | — |
| Gross margin TTM | +40.2% |
| 52w high | $24.75 |
| Market cap (USD) | $389M |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
SFC Energy AG develops and manufactures proprietary hybrid fuel cell energy systems for defense, public security, and critical infrastructure customers, currently anchored by a record ~€42.7m Ukraine combat fuel cell contract that drove a significant 2026 guidance raise.
Rationale
The 35.9% analyst upside, positive EPS revisions across 7/30/60/90-day windows, and 75% revision agreement reflect a genuine earnings inflection driven by the Ukraine order and raised guidance, giving the analyst_upside signal concrete fundamental backing rather than pure sentiment.
Material risks
- 1Single-order concentration risk — the Ukraine contract (~€42.7m, the largest in company history) dominates the thesis, and any geopolitical disruption, export-control restriction, or delivery delay would directly collapse the raised guidance and invalidate the upside case.
- 2High analyst target dispersion of 30.1% against a thin five-analyst coverage base means consensus targets are fragile and a single downgrade or miss on North American recovery could materially reprice the stock.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.