AU · rank #13 · 2026-07-23
NAVN
NASDAQ · $5.99B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.790 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.00 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 12 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.197 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $29.60 | +25.7% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +38.17% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | — |
| Gross margin TTM | +72.1% |
| 52w high | $28.22 |
| Market cap (USD) | $5.99B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Navan operates an AI-powered corporate travel and expense management SaaS platform generating ~$702M in FY2026 revenue with 31% growth and its first year of positive non-GAAP operating income and free cash flow.
Rationale
The analyst_upside_pct of 25.7% is reinforced by a clean earnings beat (Q2 FY2027 EPS of $0.08 vs. -$0.12 consensus, a 1,075% surprise), a full-year guidance raise, 100% upward EPS revision agreement across 13 analysts, and accelerating price momentum of 38%, all consistent with a re-rating thesis as NAVN crosses into sustained profitability.
Material risks
- 1Navan lacks a sole-source or long-term contracted backlog position — revenue visibility rests on subscription renewals and NRR, meaning a macro-driven corporate travel pullback could rapidly reverse the profitability inflection that is driving the analyst upgrade cycle.
- 2Zero insider buying over 90 days and no net analyst upgrades (only one target raise) despite the strong beat suggests conviction among insiders and the broader analyst community is not yet building, and the 43.9% target price dispersion signals wide disagreement on terminal value.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.