Analyst Upside

AU · rank #5 · 2026-07-23

RBRK

NYSE · $16.25B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy4.5strength 4.5 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.366
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.00
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
12
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.197
Analyst upside
Consensus target $95.23
+29.2%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+44.24%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.90
Gross margin TTM+80.6%
52w high$99.75
Market cap (USD)$16.25B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Rubrik is a cloud-native data security and ransomware recovery platform generating ~$1.46B in subscription ARR with 80%+ gross margins and net revenue retention above 120%.

Rationale

A 667% earnings surprise, 39% revenue growth, raised guidance, and 75% revision agreement across 25 analysts directly reinforce the analyst_upside strategy's premise that consensus is still underpricing RBRK's earnings power.

Material risks

  • 1Hyperscale cloud providers (AWS, Azure, GCP) bundling native backup and data security into their platforms could erode Rubrik's pricing power and differentiation faster than the 29% analyst upside assumes.
  • 2Zero insider buying over 90 days despite a high-conviction analyst consensus and a fresh earnings beat is a notable divergence that warrants monitoring for insider-level skepticism about near-term valuation.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed