Analyst Upside

AU · rank #2 · 2026-07-24

DOM

GPW · PLN · $1.73B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy9.8strength 9.8 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.260
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.96
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
1
Insider signal (90d)
Analyst upside
Consensus target $290.91
+14.1%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
-0.41%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.43
Gross margin TTM+33.7%
52w high$276.63
Market cap (USD)$1.73B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Dom Development (DOM@GPW) is Poland's leading multi-city residential developer, selling and delivering over 1,000 units per quarter across Warsaw, Tri-City, Wrocław, and Kraków.

Rationale

100% analyst revision agreement, upward EPS revisions across 7d/30d/60d/90d windows, and a 14% consensus price target upside collectively validate the analyst_upside signal against a backdrop of record Q1 2026 volumes and a seventh consecutive quarter at or above 1,000 unit sales.

Material risks

  • 1Gross margin has already compressed from ~34% to ~31% y/y in Q1 2026 due to construction cost inflation, and further deterioration would erode the earnings upgrade cycle that underpins the entire analyst revision thesis.
  • 2The analyst coverage base is thin at only 4 analysts with high target dispersion (18.9%), meaning a single downgrade or target cut could sharply reverse the near-unanimous positive revision signal.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed