AU · rank #12 · 2026-07-24
RBRK
NYSE · $16.25B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.327 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.00 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 12 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.121 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $95.23 | +31.1% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +42.74% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.90 |
| Gross margin TTM | +80.6% |
| 52w high | $99.75 |
| Market cap (USD) | $16.25B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Rubrik is a subscription-based data security and cyber resilience platform serving enterprise and public-sector customers across hybrid and multicloud environments, with ~$1.46B in subscription ARR growing 34% YoY.
Rationale
The analyst_upside_pct of 31% is backed by 25 covering analysts, a near-consensus bullish rating of 4.90/5, a 667% Q1 FY27 EPS beat that drove BMO's target raise, and FY27 positive EPS guidance — confirming the upside is fundamental-driven, not merely sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1Major cloud hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, GCP) deepening native backup and cyber-recovery integrations could commoditize Rubrik's core value proposition and compress its ~80% gross margin over a 12–24 month horizon.
- 2Analyst target dispersion of 31.5% is unusually wide for a $16B cap name, signaling meaningful disagreement on terminal growth assumptions and creating downside risk if the next earnings print (est. September 2026) disappoints after two consecutive large beats.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.