AU · rank #16 · 2026-07-24
SMHN
XETRA · EUR · $1.74B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.571 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.13 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 2 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $107.69 | +34.9% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | -11.34% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | — |
| Gross margin TTM | +34.8% |
| 52w high | $118.40 |
| Market cap (USD) | $1.74B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
SÜSS MicroTec designs and manufactures specialized lithography and wafer bonding equipment for advanced semiconductor packaging, serving foundries and IDMs globally from its German base.
Rationale
A 34.9% analyst upside gap, 75% revision agreement, and sustained EPS upgrades over 30–90 days are reinforced by a record €149.3M Q1 2026 order intake and a €330.1M backlog that gives analysts concrete revenue visibility to upgrade against, making the upside target credible rather than speculative.
Material risks
- 1The -64.6% earnings surprise in the most recent quarter and the sharp revenue decline from €124.9M to €86.5M year-on-year signal that order-to-revenue conversion timing is lumpy, meaning the analyst upside thesis depends entirely on management's reaffirmed €425–485M guidance materializing in H2 2026 — a single guidance miss would collapse the consensus target.
- 2Export-control escalation targeting European semiconductor equipment shipments to China could impair order conversion from the backlog, as advanced packaging tool demand from Chinese customers has been a meaningful growth driver for back-end equipment vendors in this cycle.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.