AU · rank #11 · 2026-07-24
XMTR
NASDAQ · $5.79B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.531 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.12 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 3 |
| Insider signal (90d) $3,999,930 across 1 unique buyers. | 3.000 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $96.25 | +11.3% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +37.71% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.90 |
| Gross margin TTM | +39.3% |
| 52w high | $106.08 |
| Market cap (USD) | $5.79B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Xometry operates an AI-native marketplace connecting enterprise buyers to a distributed custom-manufacturing supplier network, generating revenue through marketplace take rates at scale.
Rationale
Record Q1 2026 results with 36% revenue growth, a 30% EPS beat, narrowing GAAP losses, and positive free cash flow directly reinforce the analyst upside signal, with 71% revision agreement and accelerating momentum suggesting consensus estimates still lag fundamental improvement.
Material risks
- 1Xometry's moat rests on AI-driven matching and supplier network scale rather than long-term contracts or backlog, meaning large OEMs building in-house digital procurement or competing marketplaces can erode take rates without a structural switching-cost barrier to slow defection.
- 2Analyst target dispersion of nearly 50% signals wide disagreement on fair value, and with zero target raises or net upgrades in the last 30 days, the 11.3% upside to consensus may reflect stale targets rather than fresh conviction behind the signal.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.