AU · rank #16 · 2026-07-27
AMAT
NASDAQ · $448.23B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.338 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.61 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 6 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.109 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $623.06 | +16.2% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | -6.84% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.49 |
| Gross margin TTM | +49.0% |
| 52w high | $739.67 |
| Market cap (USD) | $448.23B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Applied Materials is the world's largest semiconductor equipment maker, supplying deposition, etch, and inspection tools critical to leading-edge chip fabrication across logic, DRAM, and advanced packaging.
Rationale
With 9 analyst target raises in 30 days, 100% revision agreement, EPS revisions accelerating across 7/30/60/90-day windows, and a record Q2 beat with Q3 guidance implying ~13% sequential revenue growth, the analyst_upside signal reflects genuine fundamental re-rating, not mere sentiment drift.
Material risks
- 1Analyst target dispersion of 86% is unusually wide, suggesting deep disagreement on the magnitude of the upcycle—if the NAND/logic capex recovery stalls or Intel/Samsung defer tool orders, the $8.95B Q3 guide becomes the high-water mark rather than a floor.
- 2Momentum acceleration is negative (-6.8%), insider buying is zero over 90 days, and net analyst upgrades are flat-to-negative, signaling the easy re-rating move may already be priced into the 16% implied upside at current levels.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.