AU · rank #1 · 2026-07-27
DOM
GPW · PLN · $1.74B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.170 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.96 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 1 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $290.91 | +13.9% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | -2.68% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.43 |
| Gross margin TTM | +33.7% |
| 52w high | $276.63 |
| Market cap (USD) | $1.74B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Dom Development (DOM@GPW) is Poland's leading listed residential developer delivering multi-family housing across Warsaw, Tri-City, Wroclaw, and Krakow, with Q1 2026 showing 1,161 units sold and PLN 961M in revenue.
Rationale
The analyst_upside strategy is reinforced by 100% revision agreement across all four covering analysts, upward EPS revisions accelerating over 30–90 day windows, and a strong buy-skewed consensus (recommendation mean 2.29) anchored in Q1 2026 beats on both revenue and net profit.
Material risks
- 1Gross margin compression is already realized — declining from 34.2% to 31.4% y/y in Q1 2026 — signaling that construction and land-cost inflation is actively eroding the earnings quality underpinning analyst upgrades, which could trigger forward estimate cuts.
- 2With only four analysts covering DOM and target price dispersion at 18.9%, the consensus is thin and fragile; a single downgrade or Polish mortgage/interest-rate shock could sharply reprice the 13.9% implied upside.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.