Analyst Upside

AU · rank #9 · 2026-07-27

HEIA

AMSTERDAM · EUR · $48.41B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy4.5strength 4.5 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.284
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.05
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
7
Insider signal (90d)
Analyst upside
Consensus target $86.24
+12.9%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+14.10%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.09
Gross margin TTM+37.0%
52w high$78.85
Market cap (USD)$48.41B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Heineken is the world’s second-largest brewer, leveraging global premium brands, extensive routes-to-market, and high-profile marketing sponsorships to distribute beer and cider globally.

Rationale

Strong Q1 2026 organic net revenue growth of 2.8% and reaffirmed 2026 operating profit growth guidance of 2–6% validate the quant model's 81.8% revision agreement and 12.8% analyst upside.

Material risks

  • 1Slower structural beer demand globally could cause premium volume growth to stall, directly undermining the positive earnings revisions underpinning the analyst targets.
  • 2Input cost volatility and the high marketing spend required to maintain premium brand equity could pressure the company’s 36.95% gross margin.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed