Analyst Upside

AU · rank #4 · 2026-07-27

PKO

GPW · PLN · $35.22B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy8.5strength 8.5 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.882
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.01
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
2
Insider signal (90d)
Analyst upside
Consensus target $108.32
+1.6%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+0.81%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.13
Gross margin TTM+100.0%
52w high$113.02
Market cap (USD)$35.22B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Powszechna Kasa Oszczednosci Bank Polski SA operates as Poland's largest universal bank, leveraging its dominant retail, SME, and corporate networks to maintain a market-leading domestic deposit franchise [RECENT_DEVELOPMENTS, BUSINESS_STATUS].

Rationale

The quant model's positive momentum and 100% analyst revision agreement are fundamentally backed by a 12.2% Q1 earnings surprise, robust 17.3% ROE, and a historic proposed dividend of PLN 6.14 per share [RECENT_DEVELOPMENTS].

Material risks

  • 1Ongoing legal uncertainty and the need for further costly provisions related to legacy Swiss franc (CHF) mortgage portfolios, which incurred PLN 388 million in legal-risk costs during Q1 2026 alone [RECENT_DEVELOPMENTS, TOP_RISKS].
  • 2Macroeconomic and regulatory pressures in Poland, including sector-specific banking taxes and net interest margin compression from potential domestic interest rate cuts [TOP_RISKS].

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed