Analyst Upside

AU · rank #14 · 2026-07-27

RBRK

NYSE · $16.25B (USD)

SignalBuy2.7strength 2.7 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.357
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.00
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
12
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.109
Analyst upside
Consensus target $95.23
+30.0%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+37.65%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.90
Gross margin TTM+80.6%
52w high$99.75
Market cap (USD)$16.25B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Rubrik is a subscription-based data security and cyber resilience platform serving enterprise and public-sector customers across hybrid and multicloud environments, with ~$1.46B in subscription ARR growing 34% YoY.

Rationale

The analyst_upside_pct of 30% is backed by 25 covering analysts, a near-consensus bullish rating of 4.90/5, a 667% Q1 FY27 EPS beat, and raised FY27 guidance to positive EPS, giving the upside target credible fundamental grounding rather than pure sentiment drift.

Material risks

  • 1Major cloud hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, GCP) are actively expanding native backup and cyber-recovery features, which directly threatens Rubrik's differentiation and pricing power in the multicloud segment that drives its ARR growth.
  • 2Target price dispersion of 31.5% among 25 analysts signals meaningful disagreement on terminal value, and with zero insider buying in 90 days despite a 30%+ implied upside, insiders are not corroborating the bull case.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Error