Analyst Upside

AU · rank #8 · 2026-07-27

SMTC

NASDAQ · $11.73B (USD)

SignalHold
verdict · CAUTION

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.908
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.04
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
12
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.109
Analyst upside
Consensus target $205.25
+63.0%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
-0.93%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.79
Gross margin TTM+52.4%
52w high$177.35
Market cap (USD)$11.73B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Semtech (SMTC) is a semiconductor supplier with differentiated LoRa connectivity and data-center interconnect products, and recent results showed ninth straight quarter of sales growth plus record performance in its key end markets.

Rationale

The quant setup looks credible here because analyst upside is very high, EPS revisions are positive and unanimous, and the last quarter beat consensus while margins expanded, signaling improving fundamentals behind the Street’s bullish target math.

Material risks

  • 1Semtech has limited revenue visibility and no named backlog/long-term take-or-pay protection, so a slowdown or customer insourcing in data center or LoRa could quickly unwind the upside case.
  • 2Tariff, export-control, or competitive pressure in low-power IoT and high-speed interconnects could compress margins and stall the recent growth/margin momentum.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Error