← Analyst Upside
AU · rank #1 · 2026-07-27
UAL
NASDAQ · $38.39B (USD)
SignalHold
verdict · CAUTION
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 3.808 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$1.23 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 7 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.109 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $162.15 | +37.1% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +23.36% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.44 |
| Gross margin TTM | +31.8% |
| 52w high | $138.77 |
| Market cap (USD) | $38.39B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
UAL is a major U.S. global network airline with hub-and-loyalty scale, strong recent demand, and Q2 2026 revenue/EPS beats despite sharp fuel inflation.
Rationale
The quant signal is reinforced by a clear analyst-revision setup at UAL: 37% implied upside, 10 target raises in 30d, 81.8% revision agreement, and a strong earnings beat plus raised full-year EPS guidance.
Material risks
- 1Fuel-cost shock remains the biggest thesis breaker, with management warning 2026 fuel expense could rise by roughly $6 billion and compress margins if oil stays elevated.
- 2Q3 guidance of $2.50–$3.50 EPS came in below prior Street expectations, showing that even with strong demand, margin pressure can force near-term estimate resets.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.
OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Error