AU · rank #12 · 2026-09-04
AIR
PARIS · EUR · $178.18B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.997 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.03 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 12 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $230.96 | +17.2% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +8.24% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.17 |
| Gross margin TTM | +16.3% |
| 52w high | $217.29 |
| Market cap (USD) | $178.18B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Airbus SE (AIR:PA) is the world's largest commercial aircraft manufacturer by deliveries and backlog, operating across narrowbody, widebody, helicopter, and defence segments with a ~9,350-jet commercial backlog representing over 10 years of production coverage.
Rationale
The 17.2% analyst upside, 87.5% revision agreement across 21 analysts, and a 15.7% earnings surprise on record Q2 deliveries confirm that the consensus upgrade cycle is grounded in real operational momentum—not sentiment drift—making the analyst_upside signal structurally valid here.
Material risks
- 1Execution risk on the H2 2026 ramp to ~90 aircraft/month is the primary thesis-breaker; a delivery shortfall would collapse the €7.5B EBIT guide and trigger sharp consensus downgrades, directly unwinding the revision tailwind this strategy is riding.
- 2The 33.3% analyst target dispersion is unusually wide for a mega-cap industrial, signaling genuine disagreement on delivery-ramp assumptions and leaving the stock vulnerable to a violent re-rating if supply-chain or engine constraints resurface.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.