AU · rank #19 · 2026-09-04
IMCD
AMSTERDAM · EUR · $6.64B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.531 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.09 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 6 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $117.36 | +21.2% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +7.10% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.29 |
| Gross margin TTM | +25.0% |
| 52w high | $103.20 |
| Market cap (USD) | $6.64B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
IMCD is a global asset-light specialty chemicals distributor and formulator serving life science and industrial end markets across EMEA, Americas and Asia-Pacific via supplier aggregation, technical formulation and regulatory support.
Rationale
The 21% analyst upside, 87.5% revision agreement across 10 analysts, and accelerating EPS upgrades over 30/60/90-day windows are reinforced by a concrete H1 2026 earnings rebound — Q2 organic profitability recovery after a soft Q1 gives analysts a tangible inflection point to upgrade around, making the consensus lift fundamental rather than purely sentiment-driven.
Material risks
- 1Disintermediation by large chemical producers or major life-science customers building direct technical distribution capability would structurally undercut IMCD's value-added middleman model, and at 2.8x leverage with an active M&A pipeline, there is limited balance-sheet buffer if volumes compress.
- 2The 63.9% analyst target dispersion is unusually wide for a EUR 6.6bn market-cap name, signalling deep disagreement on fair value that could cap re-rating even if earnings continue to recover, particularly given flat 1-month rating momentum suggesting no fresh conviction from the street.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.