AU · rank #11 · 2026-09-04
MTX
XETRA · EUR · $21.47B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.163 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.37 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 4 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $404.65 | +17.5% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +15.52% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.45 |
| Gross margin TTM | +18.1% |
| 52w high | $400.21 |
| Market cap (USD) | $21.47B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
MTU Aero Engines is a German OEM and MRO specialist holding up to 18% program share on Pratt & Whitney's GTF family, underpinned by a €31.6 billion order backlog and proprietary manufacturing responsibilities across critical engine components.
Rationale
The 17.5% analyst upside, positive EPS revisions across 7/30/60/90-day windows, 70% revision agreement among 16 analysts, and 15.5% momentum acceleration collectively reflect a credible re-rating catalyst tied to H1 2026 earnings beats, raised cash conversion guidance, and Farnborough order wins rather than mere sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1The cumulative ~€1 billion GTF powder-metal burden through 2026 continues to drain cash and could expand if shop-visit volumes or cost-per-visit assumptions worsen, directly compressing the free cash flow improvement thesis that underpins the upward revisions.
- 2High analyst target dispersion of 51.9% and a one-month rating momentum dip of -0.10 signal meaningful disagreement on valuation, meaning the 17.5% consensus upside could compress rapidly if 2026 EBIT lands at the low end of the €1.35–1.45 billion guidance range.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.