AU · rank #4 · 2026-09-04
SAF
PARIS · EUR · $159.72B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 2.016 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.16 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 15 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $381.50 | +15.1% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +6.22% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.09 |
| Gross margin TTM | +46.8% |
| 52w high | $366.50 |
| Market cap (USD) | $159.72B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Safran is a French aerospace and defense conglomerate whose civil engine business is anchored by the CFM LEAP family—sole-source on the 737 MAX and majority-share on the A320neo—with a rapidly expanding high-margin aftermarket driving the bulk of earnings growth.
Rationale
Universal analyst EPS revision agreement (100% of 19 analysts revising upward over 30 days, +€0.81 over 90 days) combined with 15% consensus upside and record H1 2026 results with a raised full-year guide confirms the analyst_upside signal is grounded in fundamental earnings acceleration, not sentiment drift.
Material risks
- 1Sole-source and dominant narrow-body positioning is the thesis core, but a sustained Boeing 737 MAX production shortfall or accelerated Pratt & Whitney GTF share gain on A320neo would simultaneously compress LEAP delivery volumes and delay the aftermarket ramp that underpins the raised 2026 FCF guide of €4.7–4.9 billion.
- 2Analyst target dispersion of 46% is unusually wide for a mega-cap industrial, suggesting meaningful disagreement on the pace of aftermarket monetization and defense ramp, which could compress the 15% consensus upside if OEM delivery schedules slip or the French corporate surtax excluded from guidance proves material.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.