AU · rank #15 · 2026-09-04
TKMS
XETRA · EUR · $6.20B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.789 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.15 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 3 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $111.14 | +33.4% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +7.31% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.29 |
| Gross margin TTM | +17.9% |
| 52w high | $108.80 |
| Market cap (USD) | $6.20B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
TKMS AG & Co. KGaA is a leading European naval shipbuilder specializing in conventional submarines, surface combatants, and naval electronics, underpinned by a €20+ billion order backlog extending capacity utilization into the 2040s.
Rationale
The 33.4% analyst upside, 100% revision agreement across all five covering analysts, and consistent EPS upgrades over 7/30/60/90-day windows reflect a genuine re-rating catalyst driven by the guidance upgrade, record backlog, and multiple large pending contract awards that analysts are progressively pricing in.
Material risks
- 1Concentration in a handful of sovereign procurement decisions — particularly Canada's €15B+ submarine program, India P-75i, and Germany's F127 — means a single political delay or cancellation could materially deflate the backlog growth narrative that is driving the current analyst upgrade cycle.
- 2High analyst target dispersion of 40.5% against a thin five-analyst coverage base means consensus is fragile; one downgrade or cost-overrun disclosure on a complex long-cycle program could disproportionately swing the mean target and reverse the rating momentum signal.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.