Analyst Upside

AU · rank #17 · 2026-09-07

ABN

AMSTERDAM · EUR · $40.80B (USD)

SignalBuy1.7strength 1.7 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.623
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.12
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
11
Insider signal (90d)
Analyst upside
Consensus target $43.18
+0.1%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+9.63%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.20
Gross margin TTM+100.0%
52w high$43.28
Market cap (USD)$40.80B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

ABN AMRO is a leading Dutch universal bank offering retail, corporate, and private banking services, recently expanded via the NIBC acquisition and targeting AI-driven operational improvements through a Mistral partnership.

Rationale

100% revision agreement across 16 analysts with 12% EPS upgrades over 90 days, a 12.6% analyst upside, and a 14.5% earnings surprise confirm broad, accelerating fundamental re-rating that directly validates the analyst_upside strategy's logic.

Material risks

  • 1Analyst target dispersion of 48.6% is unusually wide for a large-cap bank, suggesting the consensus upside figure masks deep disagreement on terminal value and that the "mean target" driving the signal may be distorted by outlier bulls.
  • 2Management explicitly flagged ongoing cost pressures beyond the 2028 target, and rising technology/AI investment requirements could compress the operating leverage that drove the Q2 beat, stalling the earnings revision cycle that powers this signal.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed