AU · rank #18 · 2026-09-07
BFIT
AMSTERDAM · EUR · $2.61B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.601 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.16 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 5 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $42.30 | +21.8% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +9.59% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | — |
| Gross margin TTM | +79.9% |
| 52w high | $36.70 |
| Market cap (USD) | $2.61B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Basic-Fit is a pan-European low-cost gym operator running 2,192 clubs with 6.1 million members, generating recurring subscription revenue at ~€25.64 ARPU with a scaled, standardized model across five core markets.
Rationale
The analyst_upside_pct of 21.8% is backed by 100% revision agreement across all five analysts, sustained EPS upgrades over 30/60/90-day windows, and a second guidance raise in H1 2026 — a concrete fundamental catalyst rather than pure sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1Target price dispersion of 40.7% on only five analysts signals wide disagreement on terminal value, meaning the 21.8% consensus upside could collapse sharply if one or two upgrades reverse on any membership growth miss or Clever Fit integration friction.
- 2Net debt at 2.3x leverage with a capital-intensive multi-country rollout leaves the equity exposed to refinancing risk or expansion stall if European credit conditions tighten, directly threatening the free-cash-flow inflection that underpins the upgraded guidance.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.