Analyst Upside

AU · rank #7 · 2026-09-07

BLZE

NASDAQ · $817M (USD)

SignalStrong Buy4.2strength 4.2 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.577
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.13
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
2
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.159
Analyst upside
Consensus target $22.83
+69.7%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+68.65%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.83
Gross margin TTM+62.3%
52w high$23.99
Market cap (USD)$817M

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Backblaze Inc provides specialized S3-compatible cloud object storage and computer backup services, increasingly pivoting toward cost-effective, AI-ready storage solutions for neoclouds and GPU-centric workloads [RE-DEVELOPMENTS, BUSINESS_STATUS].

Rationale

The strong positive EPS revisions and high analyst upside are fundamentally backed by a massive $335 million CoreWeave contract that provides deep revenue visibility via a $396 million remaining performance obligation (RPO) [RE-DEVELOPMENTS, FINANCIAL_NOTES].

Material risks

  • 1Severe customer concentration and execution risk around the CoreWeave agreement, including potential contract renegotiations, storage insourcing, or slower AI infrastructure demand [TOP_RISKS].
  • 2Intense pricing compression and competition from hyperscalers and budget-focused rivals like Wasabi that could erode Backblaze's cost-based moat in a commoditized storage market [COMPETITIVE_POSITION, TOP_RISKS].

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed