AU · rank #12 · 2026-09-07
EVD
XETRA · EUR · $6.54B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.171 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.05 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 1 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $88.21 | +50.4% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +22.42% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.50 |
| Gross margin TTM | +25.9% |
| 52w high | $87.40 |
| Market cap (USD) | $6.54B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
CTS Eventim is Europe's dominant integrated ticketing and live entertainment platform, combining proprietary digital infrastructure with venue operations and marquee contracts including LA28 Olympic Games ticketing.
Rationale
A 50.4% analyst upside with a near-consensus buy rating (4.5/5 from 12 analysts), accelerating momentum (+22.4%), and confirmed H1 2026 beats across revenue (+17%), EBITDA, and EPS (+34%) validate the analyst_upside signal as grounded in fundamental outperformance rather than pure sentiment drift.
Material risks
- 1The -21.2% last earnings surprise (likely a prior quarter miss) combined with 53.3% analyst target dispersion signals meaningful disagreement on fair value, suggesting the 50% upside consensus may embed overly optimistic assumptions that could compress on any guidance revision.
- 2LA28 concentration risk is real — if the Olympic committee or future large organizers move to insource ticketing (as sports leagues have explored globally), EVD loses a high-visibility contract that currently anchors both revenue visibility and the premium multiple.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.