AU · rank #13 · 2026-09-07
MTX
XETRA · EUR · $21.74B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.063 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.37 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 4 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $404.65 | +16.4% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +15.24% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.45 |
| Gross margin TTM | +18.1% |
| 52w high | $400.21 |
| Market cap (USD) | $21.74B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
MTU Aero Engines is a German OEM and MRO specialist holding up to 18% program share on Pratt & Whitney's GTF family, with a €31.6 billion order backlog and expanding defense and UAV exposure.
Rationale
Positive EPS revisions across 7-, 30-, 60-, and 90-day windows (all converging around €0.37–0.39), 70% analyst agreement, and 16.4% consensus upside reflect genuine earnings momentum from accelerating GTF MRO shop visits and H1 2026 revenue/FCF beats that the market has not yet fully priced.
Material risks
- 1The cumulative ~€1 billion GTF powder-metal burden through 2026 creates ongoing cash drag and potential for further cost recognition if shop-visit volumes or remediation costs exceed current estimates, directly compressing the FCF improvement thesis.
- 2High analyst target dispersion of 51.9% and a slight negative rating momentum (-0.10) signal meaningful disagreement on fair value, meaning the 16.4% upside figure may be anchored to outlier bull targets rather than a durable consensus re-rating.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.