AU · rank #2 · 2026-09-07
RPD
NASDAQ · $741M (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 3.296 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$2.03 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 19 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.159 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $11.71 | +6.5% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +66.40% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.56 |
| Gross margin TTM | +69.3% |
| 52w high | $20.95 |
| Market cap (USD) | $741M |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Rapid7 (RPD) is a mid-cap cybersecurity software vendor selling a unified Insight platform for vulnerability management, SIEM/XDR, cloud security, and managed detection and response, with Q2 showing improving profitability despite modestly declining ARR and revenue.
Rationale
The quant signal is reinforced by broad analyst support and fresh estimate momentum after a 26% EPS beat, 12 target raises in 30 days, 91% revision agreement, and a positive 6.5% upside to targets, all backed by higher 2026 guidance and stronger cash generation.
Material risks
- 1RPD’s core business is still shrinking in ARR and revenue, so if customer spending remains weak or competitive displacement persists, the upside case can fade quickly.
- 2The name has no backlog or long-dated contract visibility, and the recent 12% workforce reduction plus debt maturities raise execution risk if management must keep cutting to defend margins.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.