AU · rank #5 · 2026-09-07
SAF
PARIS · EUR · $160.42B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 2.020 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.16 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 16 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $381.50 | +14.4% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +7.52% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.09 |
| Gross margin TTM | +46.8% |
| 52w high | $366.50 |
| Market cap (USD) | $160.42B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Safran is a French aerospace and defense conglomerate supplying LEAP narrow-body engines (via CFM International with GE), aftermarket services, equipment, and helicopter engines to global airlines, airframers, and defense customers.
Rationale
100% analyst revision agreement, 16 net upward revisions over 30 days, and a 14.4% consensus price target upside are directly validated by record H1 2026 results that beat expectations and triggered a guidance raise, confirming the analyst upgrade cycle is fundamentally anchored rather than sentiment-driven.
Material risks
- 1Safran co-owns LEAP with GE Aerospace rather than holding sole-source status, meaning platform-level decisions by Airbus or Boeing favoring alternative propulsion architectures (e.g., next-generation engine programs) could structurally erode the installed-base moat underpinning the aftermarket margin thesis.
- 2Civil aftermarket revenue (spare parts +28%, services +40% in H1 2026) is the primary earnings driver, making the thesis acutely vulnerable to a traffic-cycle downturn or airline financial stress that defers maintenance spending and collapses the high-margin propulsion segment's 24.5% operating margin.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.