AU · rank #12 · 2026-09-07
SMWB
NYSE · $780M (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.160 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.08 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 3 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.159 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $10.80 | +22.2% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +117.87% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.56 |
| Gross margin TTM | +79.8% |
| 52w high | $10.35 |
| Market cap (USD) | $780M |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Similarweb (SMWB) is a cloud-based digital intelligence SaaS platform providing proprietary web and app traffic analytics to enterprises who cannot replicate cross-site measurement with first-party data alone.
Rationale
The analyst_upside signal is reinforced by a 97.56% earnings surprise, three target raises in 30 days, 80% revision agreement among 8 analysts, and a 22% consensus upside gap — all pointing to a credible, broad-based re-rating catalyst rather than a single outlier upgrade.
Material risks
- 1Large enterprise customers (the highest-retention cohort at 107% NRR) building in-house digital analytics capabilities would directly erode the sole-source traffic intelligence position that justifies premium SaaS pricing and underpins the analyst upgrade thesis.
- 2Target price dispersion of 27.8% against a $780M market cap signals meaningful analyst disagreement on terminal value, and with no disclosed order backlog — only rolling SaaS contracts — the 22% upside gap could compress quickly if Q3 net retention or large-customer growth disappoints.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.