Analyst Upside

AU · rank #7 · 2026-09-07

VCT

PARIS · EUR · $3.39B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy4.3strength 4.3 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.708
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.35
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
3
Insider signal (90d)
Analyst upside
Consensus target $88.00
+34.4%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+7.25%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
Gross margin TTM+36.2%
52w high$79.06
Market cap (USD)$3.39B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Vicat is a mid-sized integrated cement, concrete, and aggregates producer with €3.85bn in 2025 revenues, competing across Europe, the US, and high-growth Asia-Mediterranean and African markets via scale, regional integration, and emerging low-carbon technology differentiation.

Rationale

The 34.4% analyst upside, 100% revision agreement across all five covering analysts, and accelerating EPS revisions over 7–90 day windows are directly validated by Vicat's H1 2026 beat and management's raised full-year guidance to 7–9% like-for-like growth in both sales and EBITDA.

Material risks

  • 1Analyst target dispersion of 35.2% on a five-analyst panel is unusually wide, suggesting deep disagreement on terminal value and execution of VAIA/decarbonization capex, which could compress the consensus target sharply if funding milestones slip or carbon regulation timelines shift.
  • 2Concentrated organic growth in Asia-Mediterranean and Africa exposes the thesis to geopolitical disruption or currency devaluation in markets where Vicat lacks the scale buffer of its larger multinational competitors, potentially reversing the volume and margin momentum that underpins the current upgrade cycle.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed