Analyst Upside

AU · rank #3 · 2026-09-08

ALR

GPW · PLN · $4.78B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy6.2strength 6.2 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.429
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.42
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
1
Insider signal (90d)
Analyst upside
Consensus target $146.89
+8.3%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
-2.41%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
Gross margin TTM+98.4%
52w high$143.70
Market cap (USD)$4.78B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Alior Bank S.A. operates as a diversified Polish universal bank focusing on retail, SME, and corporate banking, with a strong emphasis on mortgages, leasing, and consumer finance.

Rationale

The positive 30-day EPS revisions and consensus buy rating are supported by robust underlying operational volume growth, including ~50% mortgage growth, which offsets a well-flagged, one-off CJEU regulatory impact that analysts have already digested.

Material risks

  • 1Further adverse court or regulatory decisions regarding consumer credit interest recognition (such as CJEU rulings) that trigger unexpected, material one-off provisions.
  • 2Lower net interest margins and rising operating expenses or regulatory taxes in a highly competitive Polish banking market.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed
Claude
Caution