AU · rank #4 · 2026-09-08
CDR
GPW · PLN · $6.38B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | -2.447 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | -$2.04 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 0 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $236.92 | +0.1% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +8.70% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.13 |
| Gross margin TTM | +92.6% |
| 52w high | $297.00 |
| Market cap (USD) | $6.38B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
CD PROJEKT SA is a leading Polish video game developer specializing in premium, narrative-driven AAA role-playing franchises, most notably *The Witcher* and *Cyberpunk 2077*.
Rationale
The analyst upside signal is reinforced by exceptional operational efficiency, featuring a 92.6% gross margin and a massive H1 2026 earnings beat (net profit up 37% YoY with a 57% net margin) [RECENT_DEVELOPMENTS, FINANCIAL_NOTES], indicating that negative 30-day EPS revisions are lagging real-time performance.
Material risks
- 1Pipeline execution risk and prolonged release gaps due to the confirmed delay of the next major Witcher-related expansion to 2027 [RECENT_DEVELOPMENTS, TOP_RISKS], exposing the company to high near-term back-catalog concentration.
- 2Strategic and capital allocation strain from the aggressive 5 billion PLN cumulative net profit target (2026–2029) required for the management incentive program [RECENT_DEVELOPMENTS, TOP_RISKS], which has already led to 100% of 2025 earnings being diverted away from shareholders into reserves.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.